Tag Archive: forecasting

Research brief: How El Niños impact climate in the southwest Indian OCean

March 9, 2021 3:13 pm Published by Comments Off on Research brief: How El Niños impact climate in the southwest Indian OCean

El Niño effects are communicated to the Indian Ocean via both large‐scale atmospheric circulation changes over the southern tropical ocean basin and via disturbances to sea‐levels along the coast of Western Australia. CLEX researchers investigated these remote ENSO influences in a state‐of‐the‐art climate model.

Research brief: New roadmap aims to quickly integrate real-world data into ecosystem models

October 20, 2020 1:41 pm Published by Comments Off on Research brief: New roadmap aims to quickly integrate real-world data into ecosystem models

An international group of researchers performed a critical review of the information infrastructure that connects ecosystem modelling and measurement efforts. This group has now proposed a roadmap to community cyber-infrastructure development that can reduce the divisions between empirical research and modelling, accelerating the pace of discovery.

RP1 Extreme Rainfall report – August 2020

August 21, 2020 10:59 am Published by Comments Off on RP1 Extreme Rainfall report – August 2020

While the Extremes Rainfall RP has found itself in challenging times as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic, they have still found moments to celebrate and have been delighted by the enormous range of extraordinary research.

UNSW07: FIRE FRONT TRACKING

August 6, 2020 1:30 pm Published by Comments Off on UNSW07: FIRE FRONT TRACKING

Errors in identifying the fire scar - the portion of a long-lasting bushfire that is actively burning or smouldering, are the largest errors in forecasting emissions from these events. This project will develop and analyse fire progression tracking using data from the 2019 - 2020 bushfire season.

Need for prediction of marine heatwaves

July 29, 2020 11:40 am Published by Comments Off on Need for prediction of marine heatwaves

CLEX researchers and colleagues have highlighted the need for the development of systems to predict marine heatwaves, which are a growing threat to marine ecosystems and industries as the climate changes.

Research brief: How salty seawater can tell us whether to expect rain

July 10, 2020 1:10 pm Published by Comments Off on Research brief: How salty seawater can tell us whether to expect rain

Ocean salinity could be an indicator of major rain events before IOD or ENSO events have peaked. This raises the prospect that long term forecasts for Australia could be improved by analysing sea surface salinity in the Indian and Pacific oceans.

Melb01: Observing turbulence with high-resolution satellite data

July 17, 2019 1:00 am Published by Comments Off on Melb01: Observing turbulence with high-resolution satellite data

The proposed project aims to implement this new turbulence diagnostic scheme and evaluate its performance using high-resolution Himawari-8 imagery. Using data from the aviation industry, some preliminary verification of the diagnostic will be undertaken. Additional observational and model data will be used to investigate turbulence-prone atmospheric conditions and processes (e.g. wind shear, mountain waves, etc).

Understanding the origin of ENSO diversity for improved forecasts

October 2, 2018 1:34 pm Published by Comments Off on Understanding the origin of ENSO diversity for improved forecasts

Forecasting El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events, and anticipating how they may change with global warming remains a significant challenge for climate researchers. An ENSO complexity workshop held in November 2017 produced a follow-up paper summarising what we know about ENSO and its predictability.