Tag Archive: Gab Abramowitz

Research brief: How to avoid overconfidence in climate model ensembles

January 30, 2019 3:06 pm Published by Comments Off on Research brief: How to avoid overconfidence in climate model ensembles

In this review paper, researchers contextualise the broad and seemingly disparate range of attempts to define and address model dependence within climate model ensembles, and offer concrete advice on how best to avoid overconfidence.

Picture Johny Goerend Unsplash

Research brief: Droughts inconsistently represented across climate models

July 6, 2018 2:18 am Published by Comments Off on Research brief: Droughts inconsistently represented across climate models

This study evaluated GCMs for common drought metrics during the past 55 years. It found different models can produce very different simulations of drought, depending on the type of drought and metric analysed. The study points to a need to improve GCMs for droughts to reduce uncertainties in future projections.