Mapping land dryness at high resolution for fire prediction Vinodkumar, Imtiaz Dharssi and Paul Fox-Hughes Bureau of Meteorology Accurate soil moisture information is essential for the monitoring and prediction of fire danger, soil moisture being an important factor in determining the moisture content and flammability of fuels. The soil moisture status in operational... View Article
Hydrological extremes by their very nature are rare events and require careful use of statistical methods to ensure robust and reliable predictions. Talk summary Hydrological extremes by their very nature are rare events and require careful use of statistical methods to ensure robust and reliable predictions. This presentation focuses on two case studies of the... View Article
Joan Llort Jordi (IMAS) Farewell Seminar: Decadal changes in Tasman Sea phytoplankton induced by atmospheric dust
Description Is gender a consideration for your program, project or research? Now is the time to reflect on this. Women are often portrayed as more vulnerable to the impacts of climate change in Asia and the Pacific, with less information available about how to respond and adapt. Some adaptation options may put a disproportionate burden... View Article
Speaker: Anna von der Heydt (Utrecht University) Climate sensitivity is a key predictor of climate change. However, it is not very well constrained, either by climate models, observational, historical or palaeoclimate data. This 'uncertainty' has its origin in different aspects: i) There is a classical uncertainty related to measurements or proxy estimates of temperature and... View Article
ANU 2019 Federal Election Panel Series Many of the enduring challenges in Australian domestic policy are seemingly intractable. How we respond - or don't respond - will shape our society for decades to come. How do we energise on critical domestic issues including Indigenous disadvantage, climate change and tax policy? How will the arts and... View Article
Zaved Khan (Bureau of Meteorology). Modelling seasonal rainfall forecasts forced with improved predictive ocean surface temperature Seasonal rainfall forecasts are in high demand for users such as irrigators and water managers in decision making and risk management. Both statistical and dynamical models are widely used to generate probabilistic rainfall forecasts in advance for a season.... View Article
Penny Maher (University of Utrecht) The tropics are expanding poleward at about 1 degree per decade in observations. The Hadley cell edge is one common measure of tropical expansion. One alternative method is the trend in the subtropical jet position. Unlike the Hadley cell edge, the observed trends in the subtropical jet position are much... View Article
The ANU School of Regulation and Global Governance (RegNet) and the ANU Climate Change Institute (CCI) are joining forces to host this half day symposium to tackle the current climate and health crisis. Led by Professor Sharon Friel (Director, RegNet), the symposium will bring together experts from academia, civil society and government, with a focus on public health, climate... View Article
Prof Christian Jakob (Monash University). Climate models have significant errors in precipitation globally, but in particular in the tropics. Most models overestimate annual mean tropical precipitation, with the largest errors occurring over the warm tropical oceans of the Western Pacific, Indian Ocean and Atlantic. In addition to the mean errors, there are significant shortcomings in... View Article