Seminar: Using observations to improve ensemble-based climate projections and the Ensemble Dependence Transformation

Seminar: Using observations to improve ensemble-based climate projections and the Ensemble Dependence Transformation

Australian German Climate and Energy College Level 1, 187 Grattan St, Parkville, Victoria, Australia

Craig Bishop (University of Melbourne) This seminar introduces the “replicate Earth” ensemble interpretation framework, based on theoretically derived statistical relationships between ensembles of perfect models (replicate Earths) and observations. We transform an ensemble of (imperfect) climate projections into an ensemble whose mean and variance have the same statistical relationship to observations as an ensemble of... View Article