Tag Archive: Agus Santoso

New book reveals how climate change affects ENSO

November 10, 2020 8:56 am Published by Comments Off on New book reveals how climate change affects ENSO

As a La Niña event intensifies in the Pacific, bringing increased rain to parts of Australia and a powerful hurricane season to the Tropical Atlantic, a new book reveals the dynamics and impacts of the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO), the irregular cycle that switches the Pacific Ocean between these cool La Niña and warm El Niño events.

Research brief: Convective extremes don’t always coincide with warm extremes during El Niños

November 25, 2019 12:46 pm Published by Comments Off on Research brief: Convective extremes don’t always coincide with warm extremes during El Niños

This study found in CMIP5 models that are able to simulate both types of events, that convective extremes do not always coincide with warm extremes. The disassociation becomes more distinct under greenhouse warming with higher occurrences of convective extremes than warm extremes.

Research brief: Strongest El Niño events to increase with climate change

February 5, 2019 12:53 pm Published by Comments Off on Research brief: Strongest El Niño events to increase with climate change

We can expect more occurrences of extreme weather associated with eastern Pacific El Niño events (the strongest and most destructive of the two types of El Niño events), which will have pronounced implications for the twenty-first century climate, extreme weather and ecosystems.

Understanding the origin of ENSO diversity for improved forecasts

October 2, 2018 1:34 pm Published by Comments Off on Understanding the origin of ENSO diversity for improved forecasts

Forecasting El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events, and anticipating how they may change with global warming remains a significant challenge for climate researchers. An ENSO complexity workshop held in November 2017 produced a follow-up paper summarising what we know about ENSO and its predictability.

Research brief: Understanding the origin of ENSO diversity for improved forecasts

July 25, 2018 3:00 am Published by Comments Off on Research brief: Understanding the origin of ENSO diversity for improved forecasts

It is hoped this proposed synthesis of two ENSO structures, their interaction with each other and how they respond to external forcing, will be the catalyst for future research and practical applications for forecasting and determining the impacts of present and future ENSO events.