The objective of this project is to develop and evaluate a post-processing method to correct gridded runoff forecasts. Improving the accuracy of gridded runoff forecasts helps to improve the skill of predictions of extreme events, such as the risk of flooding or drought.
New students, an OA for Andy Pitman and some key work on evaporation, the impacts of mesophyll conductance on plant growth, a new algorithm for photosynthesis and future projections of drought made for a strong start to 2019.
Together with a recent paper estimating evaporation and transpiration from the land surface, this paper brings the community a step closer to observationally constrained estimates of the historical land surface energy and water budgets
New research in Nature Climate Change suggests droughts may not increase as a result of climate change. This finding resulted from researchers investigating an apparent climate model contradiction that saw climate change projections of the 21st Century produce increased droughts along with more run-off and a greening of the landscape