Tag Archive: Thresholds

Research brief: The Sensitivity of Atmospheric River Identification

October 20, 2020 9:43 am Published by Comments Off on Research brief: The Sensitivity of Atmospheric River Identification

CLEX researchers explore the challenges of identifying atmospheric rivers and find that detecting these events is highly variable according to resolution, and choice of the integrated water vapour transport thresholds. The uncertainties in a single detection method and data parameters may be as large as uncertainties across AR detection methodologies.

Briefing note 001: What is the chance of global warming exceeding 1.5°C in the next 5 years?

October 23, 2018 2:28 pm Published by Comments Off on Briefing note 001: What is the chance of global warming exceeding 1.5°C in the next 5 years?

An international group of scientists has now forecast the likelihood global warming will exceed 1.5C over the next 5 years. This is one of the thresholds of the UNFCCC’s Paris Agreement, which aims “to strengthen the global response to the threat of climate change by keeping a global temperature rise this century well below 2°C above pre-industrial levels and to pursue efforts to limit the temperature increase even further to 1.5°C”.