Publications

Highlights

Up to a 40% increase in hailstorm-prone days around Sydney and Perth: new research

“Over a lot of places, hail-prone days have decreased, but in some places they have significantly increased.”

12 October 2023
Predicting the rain weeks in advance

Machine learning could help us understand the relationship between water vapour transport and the amount of rain that falls at different locations.

4 October 2023
Rainfall relief for Northern Australia during El Niño: New research

New research finds a significant interaction between the El Niño-Southern Oscillation and Madden-Julian Oscillation, with major implications for Northern Australia.

19 September 2023

Publications by year

2024

Aragon, L.G.B., Huang, Y., May, P.T., Crosier, J., Montoya Duque, E., Connolly, P.J., Bower, K.N., 2024. Characterizing Precipitation and Improving Rainfall Estimates Over the Southern Ocean Using Ship-Borne Disdrometer and Dual-Polarimetric C-Band Radar. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 129, e2023JD040250. https://doi.org/10.1029/2023JD040250
Alinejadtabrizi, T., Lang, F., Huang, Y., Ackermann, L., Keywood, M., Ayers, G., Krummel, P., Humphries, R., Williams, A.G., Siems, S.T., Manton, M., 2024. Wet deposition in shallow convection over the Southern Ocean. npj Clim Atmos Sci 7, 76. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-024-00625-1
Barnes, A.J., Constantinou, N.C., Gibson, A.H., Kiss, A.E., Chapman, C., Reilly, J., Bhagtani, D., Yang, L., 2024. regional-mom6: A Python package for automatic generation of regional configurations for the Modular Ocean Model 6. Journal of Open Source Software 9, 6857. https://doi.org/10.21105/joss.06857
Bates, B.C., Dowdy, A.J., 2024. Discerning the influence of climate variability modes, regional weather features and time series persistence on streamflow using Bayesian networks and multiple linear regression. International Journal of Climatology 44, 997–1013. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.8368
Bennetts, L.G., Shakespeare, C.J., Vreugdenhil, C.A., Foppert, A., Gayen, B., Meyer, A., Morrison, A.K., Padman, L., Phillips, H.E., Stevens, C.L., Toffoli, A., Constantinou, N.C., Cusack, J.M., Cyriac, A., Doddridge, E.W., England, M.H., Evans, D.G., Heil, P., Hogg, A.McC., Holmes, R.M., Huneke, W.G.C., Jones, N.L., Keating, S.R., Kiss, A.E., Kraitzman, N., Malyarenko, A., McConnochie, C.D., Meucci, A., Montiel, F., Neme, J., Nikurashin, M., Patel, R.S., Peng, J.-P., Rayson, M., Rosevear, M.G., Sohail, T., Spence, P., Stanley, G.J., 2024. Closing the Loops on Southern Ocean Dynamics: From the Circumpolar Current to Ice Shelves and From Bottom Mixing to Surface Waves. Reviews of Geophysics 62, e2022RG000781. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022RG000781
Borowiak, A., King, A.D., Brown, J.R., Jones, C.D., Ziehn, T., Meinshausen, M., Cassidy, L., 2024. Projected Global Temperature Changes After Net Zero Are Small But Significant. Geophysical Research Letters 51, e2024GL108654. https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL108654
Bowden, A.J., Jakob, C., Soderholm, J., 2024. Identification of Rainfall Events and Heavy Rainfall Events From Radar Measurements in Southeastern Australia. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 129, e2023JD039253. https://doi.org/10.1029/2023JD039253
Brown, A., Dowdy, A., Lane, T.P., Hitchcock, S., 2023. Long-Term Observational Characteristics of Different Severe Convective Wind Types around Australia. Weather and Forecasting 38, 1873–1893. https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-23-0069.1
Brown, A., Dowdy, A., Lane, T.P., 2024. Convection-permitting climate model representation of severe convective wind gusts and future changes in southeastern Australia. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences 24, 3225–3243. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3225-2024
Bui, H.X., Li, Y.-X., Dommenget, D., 2024. Controlling factors of wildfires in Australia and their changes under global warming. Environ. Res. Lett. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ad69a9
Capotondi, A., McGregor, S., McPhaden, M.J., Cravatte, S., Holbrook, N.J., Imada, Y., Sanchez, S.C., Sprintall, J., Stuecker, M.F., Ummenhofer, C.C., Zeller, M., Farneti, R., Graffino, G., Hu, S., Karnauskas, K.B., Kosaka, Y., Kucharski, F., Mayer, M., Qiu, B., Santoso, A., Taschetto, A.S., Wang, F., Zhang, X., Holmes, R.M., Luo, J.-J., Maher, N., Martinez-Villalobos, C., Meehl, G.A., Naha, R., Schneider, N., Stevenson, S., Sullivan, A., van Rensch, P., Xu, T., 2023. Mechanisms of tropical Pacific decadal variability. Nat Rev Earth Environ 4, 754–769. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43017-023-00486-x
Cassidy, L.J., King, A.D., Brown, J.R., MacDougall, A.H., Ziehn, T., Min, S.-K., Jones, C.D., 2023. Regional temperature extremes and vulnerability under net zero CO2 emissions. Environ. Res. Lett. 19, 014051. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ad114a
Chand, S.S., Walsh, K.J.E., Camargo, S.J., Kossin, J.P., Tory, K.J., Wehner, M.F., Chan, J.C.L., Klotzbach, P.J., Dowdy, A.J., Bell, S.S., Ramsay, H.A., Murakami, H., 2024. Reply to: Limitations of reanalyses for detecting tropical cyclone trends. Nat. Clim. Chang. 14, 146–147. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-023-01880-5
Chen, S., Xue, L., Tessendorf, S., Chubb, T., Peace, A., Ackermann, L., Gevorgyan, A., Huang, Y., Siems, S., Rasmussen, R., Kenyon, S., Speirs, J., 2023. Simulating Wintertime Orographic Cloud Seeding over the Snowy Mountains of Australia 62, 1693–1709. https://doi.org/10.1175/JAMC-D-23-0012.1
Doddridge, E., Ong, E.Q.Y., Constantinou, N.C., Hogg, A.M., England, M.H., 2024. Intrinsically Episodic Antarctic Shelf Intrusions of Circumpolar Deep Water via Canyons. Journal of Physical Oceanography. https://doi.org/10.1175/JPO-D-23-0067.1
Du, Y., Brown, J.R., Sniderman, J.M.K., 2024. Last Glacial Maximum climate and atmospheric circulation over the Australian region from climate models. Climate of the Past 20, 393–413. https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-20-393-2024
El Rafei, M., Sherwood, S., Evans, J., Dowdy, A., Ji, F., 2023. Biases in Estimating Long-Term Recurrence Intervals of Extreme Events Due To Regionalized Sampling. Geophysical Research Letters 50, e2023GL105286. https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL105286
Falster, Georgina M., Nicky M. Wright, Nerilie J. Abram, Anna M. Ukkola, and Benjamin J. Henley. “Potential for Historically Unprecedented Australian Droughts from Natural Variability and Climate Change.” Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 28, no. 6 (March 27, 2024): 1383–1401. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-1383-2024.
Freund, M.B., Brown, J.R., Marshall, A.G., Tozer, C.R., Henley, B.J., Risbey, J.S., Ramesh, N., Lieber, R., Sharmila, S., 2024. Interannual ENSO diversity, transitions, and projected changes in observations and climate models. Environ. Res. Lett. 19, 114005. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ad78db
Garfinkel, C.I., Keller, B., Lachmy, O., White, I., Gerber, E.P., Jucker, M., Adam, O., 2024. Impact of parameterized convection on the storm track and near-surface jet response to global warming: implications for mechanisms of the future poleward shift. Journal of Climate. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0105.1
Gevorgyan, A., Siems, S., Huang, Y., Ackermann, L., Manton, M., 2024. Microphysical mechanisms of wintertime postfrontal precipitation enhancement over the Australian Snowy Mountains. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 150, 1288–1314. https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4646
Gregory, C.H., Holbrook, N.J., Marshall, A.G., Spillman, C.M., 2024a. Sub-seasonal to seasonal drivers of regional marine heatwaves around Australia. Clim Dyn. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-024-07226-x
Gregory, C.H., Holbrook, N.J., Marshall, A.G., Spillman, C.M., 2023. Atmospheric Drivers of Tasman Sea Marine Heatwaves. Journal of Climate 36, 5197–5214. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0538.1
Gregory, C.H., Holbrook, N.J., Spillman, C.M., Marshall, A.G., 2024b. Combined Role of the MJO and ENSO in Shaping Extreme Warming Patterns and Coral Bleaching Risk in the Great Barrier Reef. Geophysical Research Letters 51, e2024GL108810. https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL108810
Gregory, C.H., Artana, C., Lama, S., León-FonFay, D., Sala, J., Xiao, F., Xu, T., Capotondi, A., Martinez-Villalobos, C., Holbrook, N.J., 2024. Global Marine Heatwaves Under Different Flavors of ENSO. Geophysical Research Letters 51, e2024GL110399. https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL110399
Gregory, C.H., Holbrook, N.J., Marshall, A.G., Spillman, C.M., 2023. Atmospheric Drivers of Tasman Sea Marine Heatwaves 36, 5197–5214. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0538.1
Gregory, C.H., Holbrook, N.J., Spillman, C.M., Marshall, A.G., 2024. Combined Role of the MJO and ENSO in Shaping Extreme Warming Patterns and Coral Bleaching Risk in the Great Barrier Reef. Geophysical Research Letters 51, e2024GL108810. https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL108810
Henderson, C.R., Reeder, M.J., Parker, T.J., Quinting, J.F., Jakob, C., 2024. Summer Heatwaves in Southeastern Australia. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4816
Henley, B.J., McGregor, H.V., King, A.D., Hoegh-Guldberg, O., Arzey, A.K., Karoly, D.J., Lough, J.M., DeCarlo, T.M., Linsley, B.K., 2024. Highest ocean heat in four centuries places Great Barrier Reef in danger. Nature 632, 320–326. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-024-07672-x
Hobbs, W., Spence, P., Meyer, A., Schroeter, S., Fraser, A.D., Reid, P., Tian, T.R., Wang, Z., Liniger, G., Doddridge, E.W., Boyd, P.W., 2024. Observational evidence for a regime shift in summer Antarctic sea ice. Journal of Climate. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0479.1
Hobday, A.J., Burrows, M.T., Filbee-Dexter, K., Holbrook, N.J., Sen Gupta, A., Smale, D.A., Smith, K.E., Thomsen, M.S., Wernberg, T., 2023. With the arrival of El Niño, prepare for stronger marine heatwaves. Nature 621, 38–41. https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-023-02730-2
Holgate, C.M., A.S. Pepler, I. Rudeva, and N.J. Abram. “Anthropogenic Warming Reduces the Likelihood of Drought-Breaking Extreme Rainfall Events in Southeast Australia.” Weather and Climate Extremes 42 (December 2023): 100607. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2023.100607.
Howard, E., Su, C.-H., Stassen, C., Naha, R., Ye, H., Pepler, A., Bell, S.S., Dowdy, A.J., Tucker, S.O., Franklin, C., 2024. Performance and process-based evaluation of the BARPA-R Australasian regional climate model version 1. Geoscientific Model Development 17, 731–757. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-731-2024
Huang, A.T., Gillett, Z.E., Taschetto, A.S., 2024. Australian Rainfall Increases During Multi-Year La Niña. Geophysical Research Letters 51, e2023GL106939. https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL106939
Huguenin, Maurice F., Ryan M. Holmes, Paul Spence, and Matthew H. England. “Subsurface Warming of the West Antarctic Continental Shelf Linked to El Niño‐Southern Oscillation.” Geophysical Research Letters 51, no. 7 (April 16, 2024): e2023GL104518. https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL104518.
Hutchinson, D.K., Menviel, L., Meissner, K.J., Hogg, A.M., 2024. East Antarctic warming forced by ice loss during the Last Interglacial. Nat Commun 15, 1026. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-45501-x
Jakes, M.I., Phillips, H.E., Foppert, A., Cyriac, A., Bindoff, N.L., Rintoul, S.R., Thompson, A.F., 2024. Observational evidence of cold filamentary intensification in an energetic meander of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current. Journal of Physical Oceanography. https://doi.org/10.1175/JPO-D-23-0085.1
Jiang, X., Holbrook, N.J., Marshall, A.G., Love, P.T., 2024. Quasi-Biennial Oscillation influence on Australian summer rainfall. npj Clim Atmos Sci 7, 19. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-023-00552-7
Jucker, M., Lucas, C., Dutta, D., 2024. Long-term climate impacts of large stratospheric water vapor perturbations. Journal of Climate. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0437.1
Kajtar, J.B., Holbrook, N.J., Lyth, A., Hobday, A.J., Mundy, C.N., Ugalde, S.C., 2024. A stakeholder-guided marine heatwave hazard index for fisheries and aquaculture. Climatic Change 177, 26. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-024-03684-8
Kay, J.E., Liang, Y.-C., Zhou, S.-N., Maher, N., 2024. Sea ice feedbacks cause more greenhouse cooling than greenhouse warming at high northern latitudes on multi-century timescales. Environ. Res.: Climate. https://doi.org/10.1088/2752-5295/ad8026
Kawaguchi, K., Shakespeare, C.J., Roderick, M.L., 2024. CO2 Dependence in Global Estimation of All-Sky Downwelling Longwave: Parameterization and Model Comparison. Geophysical Research Letters 51, e2024GL110384. https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL110384
Kim, S.-K., Park, H.-J., An, S.-I., Liu, C., Cai, W., Santoso, A., Kug, J.-S., 2024. Decreased Indian Ocean Dipole variability under prolonged greenhouse warming. Nat Commun 15, 2811. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-47276-7
King, A.D., Harrington, L.J., Hawkins, E., Paik, S., Lieber, R., Min, S.-K., Borowiak, A.R., 2024. Emergence of multivariate climate change signals. Environ. Res. Lett. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ad677f
King, A.D., Ziehn, T., Chamberlain, M., Borowiak, A.R., Brown, J.R., Cassidy, L., Dittus, A.J., Grose, M., Maher, N., Paik, S., Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S.E., Sengupta, A., 2024. Exploring climate stabilisation at different global warming levels in ACCESS-ESM-1.5. EGUsphere. https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2961
Klöwer, M., Gelbrecht, M., Hotta, D., Willmert, J., Silvestri, S., Wagner, G.L., White, A., Hatfield, S., Kimpson, T., Constantinou, N.C., Hill, C., 2024. SpeedyWeather.jl: Reinventing atmospheric general circulation models towards interactivity and extensibility. Journal of Open Source Software 9, 6323. https://doi.org/10.21105/joss.06323
Lang, F., Siems, S.T., Huang, Y., Alinejadtabrizi, T., Ackermann, L., 2024. On the relationship between mesoscale cellular convection and meteorological forcing: comparing the Southern Ocean against the North Pacific. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics 24, 1451–1466. https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-24-1451-2024
Lieber, R., Brown, J., King, A., Freund, M., 2024. Historical and Future Asymmetry of ENSO Teleconnections with Extremes. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0619.1
Li, Hao, Jessica Keune, Qiqi Gou, Chiara M. Holgate, and Diego Miralles. “Heat and Moisture Anomalies During Crop Failure Events in the Southeastern Australian Wheat Belt.” Earth’s Future 12, no. 3 (March 2024): e2023EF003901. https://doi.org/10.1029/2023EF003901.
Liu, Y., Nikurashin, M., Peña-Molino, B., 2024. Seafloor roughness reduces melting of East Antarctic ice shelves. Commun Earth Environ 5, 322. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-024-01480-x
Liu, Y.L., Alexander, L.V., Evans, J.P., Thatcher, M., 2024. Sensitivity of Australian Rainfall to Driving SST Data Sets in a Variable-Resolution Global Atmospheric Model. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 129, e2024JD040954. https://doi.org/10.1029/2024JD040954
Liqui Lung, F., Jakob, C., Siebesma, A.P., Jansson, F., 2024. Open boundary conditions for atmospheric large-eddy simulations and their implementation in DALES4.4. Geoscientific Model Development 17, 4053–4076. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-4053-2024
Liqui Lung, F.P.A., Siebesma, A.P., Jansson, F.R., Arabas, S., Axelsen, S.L., Attema, J., Azizi, V., Beets, C., Boeing, S.J., de Bruine, M., Chylik, J., Cuijpers, H., van Dorp, P., van der Dussen, J., Duynkerke, P., van Heerwaarden, C., Heus, T., Janssens, M., Jonker, H., Moene, A., Nieuwstadt, F., Ouwersloot, H., van den Oord, G., Pourquie, M., de Roode, S., Neggers, R., Pedruzo, X., Sikma, M., van Stratum, B., Vila, J., van Zanten, M., 2023. franslql/dales: DALES 4.4 with open boundary conditions. Zenodo. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.10046420
Liu, X., Meyer, A., Chapman, C.C., 2024. Characteristics and Trends of the Campbell Plateau Meander in the Southern Ocean: 1993–2020. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans 129, e2023JC019876. https://doi.org/10.1029/2023JC019876
Lopez-Bravo, C., Vincent, C.L., Huang, Y., Lane, T.P., 2023. The Diurnal Cycle of Rainfall and Deep Convective Clouds Around Sumatra and the Associated MJO-Induced Variability During Austral Summer in Himawari-8. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 128, e2023JD039132. https://doi.org/10.1029/2023JD039132
Mesto, M., Hobeichi, S., Green, S., 2024. CNN-Atmospheric-Rivers. Zenodo. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.12538779
McKenna, S., Santoso, A., Sen Gupta, A., Taschetto, A.S., 2024. Understanding Biases in Indian Ocean Seasonal SST in CMIP6 Models. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans 129, e2023JC020330. https://doi.org/10.1029/2023JC020330
Mu, M., Sabot, M.E.B., Ukkola, A.M., Rifai, S.W., De Kauwe, M.G., Hobeichi, S., Pitman, A.J., 2024. Examining the role of biophysical feedbacks on simulated temperature extremes during the Tinderbox Drought and Black Summer bushfires in southeast Australia. Weather and Climate Extremes 45, 100703. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2024.100703
Muhammad, F.R., Vincent, C., King, A., Lubis, S.W., 2024. The Impacts of Convectively Coupled Equatorial Waves on Extreme Rainfall in Northern Australia. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-24-0042.1
Paik, Seungmok, Soon-Il An, Andrew D King, Soong-Ki Kim, and Seung-Ki Min. “Understanding Climate Changes in East Asia and Europe Based on Spatial Climate Analogs.” Environmental Research Letters 19, no. 4 (April 1, 2024): 044036. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ad32e9.
Pathiranage, A.S., Reid, K., Hobeichi, S., 2024. Atmospheric rivers dataset for machine learning training (v1.0.0) [Data set]. Zenodo. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.12177339
Peter, J., Vogel, E., Sharples, W., Bende-Michl, U., Wilson, L., Hope, P., Dowdy, A., Kociuba, G., Srikanthan, S., Duong, V.C., Roussis, J., Matic, V., Khan, Z., Oke, A., Turner, M., Baron-Hay, S., Johnson, F., Mehrotra, R., Sharma, A., Thatcher, M., Azarvinand, A., Thomas, S., Boschat, G., Donnelly, C., Argent, R., 2024. Continental-scale bias-corrected climate and hydrological projections for Australia. Geoscientific Model Development 17, 2755–2781. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-2755-2024
Petrelli, P., Trenham, C., Macadam, I., Murphy, B., Trewin, B., Evans, A., 2024. Enabling access to weather, climate and oceanographic data across institutions: Synthesis report. Zenodo. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.11254528
Poddar, S., Rougieux, F., Evans, J.P., Kay, M., Prasad, A.A., Bremner, S.P., 2024. Accelerated degradation of photovoltaic modules under a future warmer climate. Progress in Photovoltaics: Research and Applications. https://doi.org/10.1002/pip.3788
Quail, K., Green, S., 2024. Quantifying Traditional Indigenous Indicators v1.0.0. Zenodo. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.12702614
Ramadoss, V., Pfannkuch, K., Protat, A., Huang, Y., Siems, S., Possner, A., 2024. An Evaluation of Cloud-Precipitation Structures in Mixed-Phase Stratocumuli Over the Southern Ocean in Kilometer-Scale ICON Simulations During CAPRICORN. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 129, e2022JD038251. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022JD038251
Ren, X., Liu, W., Capotondi, A., Amaya, D.J., Holbrook, N.J., 2023. The Pacific Decadal Oscillation modulated marine heatwaves in the Northeast Pacific during past decades. Commun Earth Environ 4, 218. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-023-00863-w
Robbins, D.J.V., Poulsen, C.A., Siems, S.T., Proud, S.R., Prata, A.T., Grainger, R.G., Povey, A.C., 2024. Geostationary aerosol retrievals of extreme biomass burning plumes during the 2019–2020 Australian bushfires. Atmospheric Measurement Techniques 17, 3279–3302. https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-17-3279-2024
Robinson, C.M., Narsey, S., Jakob, C., 2024. Synoptic Variability in the Tropical Oceanic Moist Margin. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 129, e2024JD040814. https://doi.org/10.1029/2024JD040814
Rampal, Neelesh, Sanaa Hobeichi, Peter B. Gibson, Jorge Baño-Medina, Gab Abramowitz, Tom Beucler, Jose González-Abad, William Chapman, Paula Harder, and José Manuel Gutiérrez. “Enhancing Regional Climate Downscaling through Advances in Machine Learning.” Artificial Intelligence for the Earth Systems 3, no. 2 (April 2024): 230066. https://doi.org/10.1175/AIES-D-23-0066.1.
Reid, K.J., Arblaster, J.M., Alexander, L.V., Siems, S.T., 2024. Spurious Trends in High Latitude Southern Hemisphere Precipitation Observations. Geophysical Research Letters 51, e2023GL106994. https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL106994
Richards, L.S., Siems, S.T., Huang, Y., Zhao, W., Harrison, D.P., Manton, M.J., Reeder, M.J., 2024. The meteorological drivers of mass coral bleaching on the central Great Barrier Reef during the 2022 La Niña. Sci Rep 14, 23867. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-74181-2
Robinson, Corey M., Michael A. Barnes, Sugata Narsey, and Michael J. Reeder. “The Meteorology of the 2019 North Queensland Floods.” Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, April 15, 2024, qj.4685. https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4685.
Shi, J., Kajtar, J.B., Hayashida, H., Ugalde, S.C., 2024. Relationships between high temperatures and Pacific Oyster disease and mortality in southeast Tasmania, Australia. Continental Shelf Research 273, 105173. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.csr.2024.105173
Shi, J., Huang, H., Fedorov, A.V., Holbrook, N.J., Zhang, Y., Ding, R., Luo, Y., Wang, S., Chen, J., Hu, X., Liu, Q., Huang, F., Lin, X., 2024. Northeast Pacific warm blobs sustained via extratropical atmospheric teleconnections. Nat Commun 15, 2832. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-47032-x
Schleiss, M., Raupach, T.H., Berne, A., 2023. The raindrop size distribution – the unknown that holds everything together, in: Advances in Weather Radar. Volume 2: Precipitation Science, Scattering and Processing Algorithms. IET Digital Library, pp. 247–292. https://doi.org/10.1049/SBRA557G_ch6
Shao, Y., Bishop, C.H., Hobeichi, S., Nishant, N., Abramowitz, G., Sherwood, S., 2024. Time Variability Correction of CMIP6 Climate Change Projections. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 16, e2023MS003640. https://doi.org/10.1029/2023MS003640
Silva, M.E.S., Taschetto, A.S., De Souza, E.B., 2024. Editorial: Pacific multi-decadal variability and Enso impact on South American climate. Front. Earth Sci. 12, 1430406. https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2024.1430406
Smith, K.E., Aubin, M., Burrows, M.T., Filbee-Dexter, K., Hobday, A.J., Holbrook, N.J., King, N.G., Moore, P.J., Sen Gupta, A., Thomsen, M., Wernberg, T., Wilson, E., Smale, D.A., 2024. Global impacts of marine heatwaves on coastal foundation species. Nat Commun 15, 5052. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-49307-9
Song, S.-Y., Yeh, S.-W., Kim, H., Holbrook, N.J., 2023. Arctic warming contributes to increase in Northeast Pacific marine heatwave days over the past decades. Commun Earth Environ 4, 25. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-023-00683-y
Stewart, K.D., Shakespeare, C.J., 2024. On stratified flow over a topographic ridge in a rotating annulus. Geophysical & Astrophysical Fluid Dynamics. https://doi.org/10.1080/03091929.2024.2311928
Tan, I., Reeder, M.J., Birch, C.E., Peatman, S.C., Webster, S., 2024. Synoptic and Mesoscale Dynamics of Cold Surges Over the South China Sea and Their Control on Extreme Rainfall. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 129, e2024JD040822. https://doi.org/10.1029/2024JD040822
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Short, E., Lane, T.P., Bishop, C.H., Wheeler, M.C., 2023a. Diurnally Forced Tropical Gravity Waves Under Varying Stability. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 80, 2557–2579. https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-23-0074.1
Short, E., Lane, T.P., Vincent, C.L., 2023b. Objectively Diagnosing Characteristics of Mesoscale Organization from Radar Reflectivity and Ambient Winds. Monthly Weather Review 151, 643–662. https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-22-0146.1
Sohail, T., Holmes, R.M., Zika, J.D., 2023. Watermass Co-Ordinates Isolate the Historical Ocean Warming Signal. Journal of Climate 36, 3063–3081. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0363.1
Solodoch, A., Stewart, A.L., Hogg, A.M., Manucharyan, G.E., 2023. Machine Learning-Derived Inference of the Meridional Overturning Circulation From Satellite-Observable Variables in an Ocean State Estimate. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 15, e2022MS003370. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022MS003370
Song, S.-Y., Yeh, S.-W., Kim, H., Holbrook, N.J., 2023. Arctic warming contributes to increase in Northeast Pacific marine heatwave days over the past decades. Commun Earth Environ 4, 25. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-023-00683-y
Stephens, C.M., Band, L.E., Johnson, F.M., Marshall, L.A., Medlyn, B.E., De Kauwe, M.G., Ukkola, A.M., 2023. Changes in Blue/Green Water Partitioning Under Severe Drought. Water Resources Research 59, e2022WR033449. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022WR033449
Strong-Wright, J., Chen, S., Constantinou, N.C., Silvestri, S., Wagner, G.L., Taylor, J.R., 2023. OceanBioME.jl: A flexible environment for modelling the coupled interactions between ocean biogeochemistry and physics. Journal of Open Source Software 8, 5669. https://doi.org/10.21105/joss.05669
Strutton, P.G., Trull, T.W., Phillips, H.E., Duran, E.R., Pump, S., 2023. Biogeochemical Argo Floats Reveal the Evolution of Subsurface Chlorophyll and Particulate Organic Carbon in Southeast Indian Ocean Eddies. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans 128, e2022JC018984. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022JC018984
Sun, S., Bi, Z., Xiao, J., Liu, Yi, Sun, G., Ju, W., Liu, C., Mu, M., Li, J., Zhou, Y., Li, X., Liu, Yibo, Chen, H., 2023a. A global 5km monthly potential evapotranspiration dataset (1982–2015) estimated by the Shuttleworth–Wallace model. Earth System Science Data 15, 4849–4876. https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-15-4849-2023
Sun, S., Zhang, Y., Chai, R., Liu, Y., Mu, M., Zhou, B., Zhou, Y., Li, J., Chen, H., 2023b. Spatial differences in impacts of CO2 effect on China’s meteorological droughts: Analysis from surface resistance perspective. Journal of Hydrology 621, 129568. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2023.129568
Tan, I., Reeder, M.J., Singh, M.S., Birch, C.E., Peatman, S.C., 2023. Wet and Dry Cold Surges Over the Maritime Continent. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 128, e2022JD038196. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022JD038196
Teckentrup, L., De Kauwe, M.G., Abramowitz, G., Pitman, A.J., Ukkola, A.M., Hobeichi, S., François, B., Smith, B., 2023. Opening Pandora’s box: reducing global circulation model uncertainty in Australian simulations of the carbon cycle. Earth System Dynamics 14, 549–576. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-549-2023
Treguier, A.M., de Boyer Montégut, C., Bozec, A., Chassignet, E.P., Fox-Kemper, B., Hogg, A.M., Iovino, D., Kiss, A.E., Le Sommer, J., Li, Y., Lin, P., Lique, C., Liu, H., Serazin, G., Sidorenko, D., Wang, Q., Xu, X., Yeager, S., 2023. The mixed-layer depth in the Ocean Model Intercomparison Project (OMIP): impact of resolving mesoscale eddies. Geoscientific Model Development 16, 3849–3872. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-3849-2023
Twigg, K., Zion, L., Ashcroft, L., 2023. ‘The Long, Continued Dry.’ Media History 29, 476–496. https://doi.org/10.1080/13688804.2023.2229864
Vanos, B.H., Jennifer (Ed.), 2023. Di Virgilio G, Hart MA, Maharaj A, Green D (2023): The impact of air quality on school children., in: The Impact of Extreme Weather on School Education: Protecting School Communities. Routledge, London. https://doi.org/10.4324/9781003103165
Vilela-Silva, F., Silveira, I.C.A., Napolitano, D.C., Souza-Neto, P.W.M., Biló, T.C., Gangopadhyay, A., 2023. On the Deep Western Boundary Current Separation and Anticyclone Genesis off Northeast Brazil. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans 128, e2022JC019168. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022JC019168
Vives, C.R., Schallenberg, C., Strutton, P.G., Boyd, P.W., 2023. Biogeochemical-Argo floats show that chlorophyll increases before carbon in the high-latitude Southern Ocean spring bloom. Limnology and Oceanography Letters. https://doi.org/10.1002/lol2.10322
Walter, R.M., Sayani, H.R., Felis, T., Cobb, K.M., Abram, N.J., Arzey, A.K., Atwood, A.R., Brenner, L.D., Dassié, É.P., DeLong, K.L., Ellis, B., Emile-Geay, J., Fischer, M.J., Goodkin, N.F., Hargreaves, J.A., Kilbourne, K.H., Krawczyk, H., McKay, N.P., Moore, A.L., Murty, S.A., Ong, M.R., Ramos, R.D., Reed, E.V., Samanta, D., Sanchez, S.C., Zinke, J., the PAGES CoralHydro2k Project Members, 2023. The CoralHydro2k database: a global, actively curated compilation of coral δ¹⁸O and Sr∕Ca proxy records of tropical ocean hydrology and temperature for the Common Era. Earth System Science Data 15, 2081–2116. https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-15-2081-2023
Wamahiu, K., Kala, J., Evans, J.P., 2023. The influence of bias correction of global climate models prior to dynamical downscaling on projections of changes in climate: a case study over the CORDEX-Australasia domain. Clim Dyn. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-06949-7
Wang, L.-C., Dao, T.L., Lin, Y.-F., Yu, J.-Y., 2023. The dynamics of the equatorial Atlantic upwelling seasonal cycle under global warming and its potential impact on Pacific ENSO. Clim Dyn 61, 1757–1768. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06654-x
Wang, Q., Shu, Q., Bozec, A., Chassignet, E.P., Fogli, P.G., Fox-Kemper, B., Hogg, A.M., Iovino, D., Kiss, A.E., Koldunov, N., Le Sommer, J., Li, Y., Lin, P., Liu, H., Polyakov, I., Scholz, P., Sidorenko, D., Wang, S., Xu, X., 2023. Impact of high resolution on Arctic Ocean simulations in Ocean Model Intercomparison Project phase 2 (OMIP-2). Geoscientific Model Development Discussions. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2023-123
Wang, S., Liu, J., Cheng, X., Yang, D., Kerzenmacher, T., Li, X., Hu, Y., Braesicke, P., 2023. Contribution of the deepened Amundsen sea low to the record low Antarctic sea ice extent in February 2022. Environ. Res. Lett. 18, 054002. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/acc9d6
Wang, Y., Holbrook, N.J., Kajtar, J.B., 2023. Predictability of Marine Heatwaves off Western Australia Using a Linear Inverse Model. Journal of Climate 36, 6177–6193. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0692.1
West, T.A.P., Wunder, S., Sills, E.O., Börner, J., Rifai, S.W., Neidermeier, A.N., Frey, G.P., Kontoleon, A., 2023. Action needed to make carbon offsets from forest conservation work for climate change mitigation. Science 381, 873–877. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.ade3535
Windmiller, J.M., Bao, J., Sherwood, S.C., Schanzer, T.D., Fuchs, D., 2023. Predicting Convective Downdrafts From Updrafts and Environmental Conditions in a Global Storm Resolving Simulation. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 15, e2022MS003048. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022MS003048
Xu, R., Yu, P., Liu, Y., Chen, G., Yang, Z., Zhang, Yiwen, Wu, Y., Beggs, P.J., Zhang, Ying, Boocock, J., Ji, F., Hanigan, I., Jay, O., Bi, P., Vargas, N., Leder, K., Green, D., Quail, K., Huxley, R., Jalaludin, B., Hu, W., Dennekamp, M., Vardoulakis, S., Bone, A., Abrahams, J., Johnston, F.H., Broome, R., Capon, T., Li, S., Guo, Y., 2023. Climate change, environmental extremes, and human health in Australia: challenges, adaptation strategies, and policy gaps. The Lancet Regional Health – Western Pacific 40. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.lanwpc.2023.100936
Yang, K., Meyer, A., Strutton, P.G., Fischer, A.M., 2023. Global trends of fronts and chlorophyll in a warming ocean. Commun Earth Environ 4, 489. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-023-01160-2
Yang, L., Barkan, R., Srinivasan, K., McWilliams, J.C., Shakespeare, C.J., Gibson, A.H., 2023a. Oceanic eddies induce a rapid formation of an internal wave continuum. Commun Earth Environ 4, 484. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-023-01137-1
Yang, L., Nikurashin, M., Hogg, A.McC., Sloyan, B.M., 2023b. Lee Waves Break Eddy Saturation of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current. Geophysical Research Letters 50, e2023GL103866. https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL103866
Zhang, X., Nikurashin, M., Peña-Molino, B., Rintoul, S.R., Doddridge, E., 2023. A Theory of Standing Meanders of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current and Their Response to Wind. Journal of Physical Oceanography 53, 235–251. https://doi.org/10.1175/JPO-D-22-0086.1
Zhao, Z., Han, M., Yang, K., Holbrook, N.J., 2023. Signatures of midsummer droughts over Central America and Mexico. Clim Dyn 60, 3523–3542. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06505-9
Zheng, F., Chen, J., Ma, Y., Chen, Q., Maier, H.R., Gupta, H., 2023. A Robust Strategy to Account for Data Sampling Variability in the Development of Hydrological Models. Water Resources Research 59, e2022WR033703. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022WR033703

2022

Journal Articles

Abram, N. J., Wright, N. M., Ellis, B., Dixon, B. C., Wurtzel, J. B., England, M. H., et al. (2022). Author Correction: Coupling of Indo-Pacific climate variability over the last millennium. Nature, 602(7896), E20–E20. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-021-04318-0

Adamu, M., Gallant, A. J. E., & McGregor, S. (2022). Decadal-scale variations in extreme precipitation and implications for seasonal scale drought. Climate Dynamics, 58(5), 1845–1860. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-05995-3

Ahn, M.-S., Gleckler, P. J., Lee, J., Pendergrass, A. G., & Jakob, C. (2022). Benchmarking Simulated Precipitation Variability Amplitude across Timescales. Journal of Climate, 35(20), 3173–3196. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0542.1

Ali, S. M., Röthlisberger, M., Parker, T., Kornhuber, K., & Martius, O. (2022). Recurrent Rossby waves and south-eastern Australian heatwaves. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 3(4), 1139–1156. https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-3-1139-2022

Amarathunga, U., Hogg, A. M., Rohling, E. J., Roberts, A. P., Grant, K. M., Heslop, D., et al. (2022). Sill-controlled salinity contrasts followed post-Messinian flooding of the Mediterranean. Nature Geoscience, 15(9), 720–725. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-022-00998-z

Argüeso, D., Di Luca, A., Jourdain, N. C., Romero, R., & Homar, V. (2022). Mechanisms for Extreme Precipitation Changes in a Tropical Archipelago. Journal of Climate, 35(17), 5519–5536. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0224.1

Ashcroft, L., Trewin, B., Benoy, M., Ray, D., & Courtney, C. (2022). The world’s longest known parallel temperature dataset: A comparison between daily Glaisher and Stevenson screen temperature data at Adelaide, Australia, 1887–1947. International Journal of Climatology, 42(5), 2670–2687. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.7385

Ayat, H., Evans, J. P., Sherwood, S. C., & Soderholm, J. (2022a). An object-based climatology of precipitation systems in Sydney, Australia. Climate Dynamics. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06404-z

Ayat, H., Evans, J. P., Sherwood, S. C., & Soderholm, J. (2022b). Intensification of subhourly heavy rainfall. Science, 378(6620), 655–659. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.abn8657

Barthel, A., Hogg, A. M., Waterman, S., & Keating, S. (2022). Baroclinic Control of Southern Ocean Eddy Upwelling Near Topography. Geophysical Research Letters, 49(7), e2021GL097491. https://doi.org/10.1029/2021GL097491

Battula, S. B., Siems, S., & Mondal, A. (2022). Dynamical and thermodynamical interactions in daily precipitation regimes in the Western Himalayas. International Journal of Climatology, 42(9), 4909–4924. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.7511

Bauman, D., Fortunel, C., Cernusak, L. A., Bentley, L. P., McMahon, S. M., Rifai, S. W., et al. (2022). Tropical tree growth sensitivity to climate is driven by species intrinsic growth rate and leaf traits. Global Change Biology, 28(4), 1414–1432. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.15982

Bauman, D., Fortunel, C., Delhaye, G., Malhi, Y., Cernusak, L. A., Bentley, L. P., et al. (2022). Tropical tree mortality has increased with rising atmospheric water stress. Nature, 608, 528–533. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-022-04737-7

Beck, H. E., Dijk, A. I. J. M. van, Larraondo, P. R., McVicar, T. R., Pan, M., Dutra, E., & Miralles, D. G. (2022). MSWX: Global 3-Hourly 0.1° Bias-Corrected Meteorological Data Including Near-Real-Time Updates and Forecast Ensembles. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 103(3), E710–E732. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-21-0145.1

Bergemann, M., Lane, T. P., Wales, S., Narsey, S., & Louf, V. (2022). High-resolution simulations of tropical island thunderstorms: Does an increase in resolution improve the representation of extreme rainfall? Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 148(748), 3303–3318. https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4360

Beringer, J., Moore, C. E., Cleverly, J., Campbell, D. I., Cleugh, H., De Kauwe, M. G., et al. (2022). Bridge to the future: Important lessons from 20 years of ecosystem observations made by the OzFlux network. Global Change Biology, 28(11), 3489–3514. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.16141

Bhattacharyya, S., Sreekesh, S., & King, A. (2022). Characteristics of extreme rainfall in different gridded datasets over India during 1983–2015. Atmospheric Research, 267, 105930. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2021.105930

Bi, D., Wang, G., Cai, W., Santoso, A., Sullivan, A., Ng, B., & Jia, F. (2022). Improved Simulation of ENSO Variability Through Feedback From the Equatorial Atlantic in a Pacemaker Experiment. Geophysical Research Letters, 49(2), e2021GL096887. https://doi.org/10.1029/2021GL096887

Bishop, C. H., & Eizenberg, N. W. (2022). Implicit ensemble tangent linear models (IETLMs) for model differentiation. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 148(748), 3319–3342. https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4363

Bläckberg, C. P. O., & Singh, M. S. (2022). Increased Large-Scale Convective Aggregation in CMIP5 Projections: Implications for Tropical Precipitation Extremes. Geophysical Research Letters, 49(9), e2021GL097295. https://doi.org/10.1029/2021GL097295

Blunn, L. P., Coceal, O., Nazarian, N., Barlow, J. F., Plant, R. S., Bohnenstengel, S. I., & Lean, H. W. (2022). Turbulence Characteristics Across a Range of Idealized Urban Canopy Geometries. Boundary-Layer Meteorology, 182(2), 275–307. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10546-021-00658-6

Brown, A., Dowdy, A., Lane, T. P., & Hitchcock, S. (2022). Types of Severe Convective Wind Events in Eastern Australia. Monthly Weather Review, 1(aop). https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-22-0096.1

Bui, H. X., Timmermann, A., Lee, J.-Y., Maloney, E. D., Li, Y.-X., Kim, J.-E., et al. (2022). Summer midlatitude stationary wave patterns synchronize Northern Hemisphere wildfire occurrence. Geophysical Research Letters, 49(18), e2022GL099017. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022GL099017

Cai, D., Abram, N. J., Sharples, J. J., & Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S. E. (2022). Increasing intensity and frequency of cold fronts contributed to Australia’s 2019–2020 Black Summer fire disaster. Environmental Research Letters, 17(9), 094044. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac8e88

Cai, W., Ng, B., Wang, G., Santoso, A., Wu, L., & Yang, K. (2022). Increased ENSO sea surface temperature variability under four IPCC emission scenarios. Nature Climate Change, 12, 228–231. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-022-01282-z

Carrió, D. S., Jansà, A., Homar, V., Romero, R., Rigo, T., Ramis, C., et al. (2022). Exploring the benefits of a Hi-EnKF system to forecast an extreme weather event. The 9th October 2018 catastrophic flash flood in Mallorca. Atmospheric Research, 265, 105917. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2021.105917

Choudhury, D., Menviel, L., Meissner, K. J., Yeung, N. K. H., Chamberlain, M., & Ziehn, T. (2022). Marine carbon cycle response to a warmer Southern Ocean: the case of the last interglacial. Climate of the Past, 18(3), 507–523. https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-18-507-2022

Churakova-Sidorova, O. V., Myglan, V. S., Fonti, M. V., Naumova, O. V., Kirdyanov, A. V., Kalugin, I. A., et al. (2022). Modern aridity in the Altai-Sayan mountain range derived from multiple millennial proxies. Scientific Reports, 12(1), 7752. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-11299-1

Collow, A. B. M., Shields, C. A., Guan, B., Kim, S., Lora, J. M., McClenny, E. E., et al. (2022). An Overview of ARTMIP’s Tier 2 Reanalysis Intercomparison: Uncertainty in the Detection of Atmospheric Rivers and Their Associated Precipitation. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 127(8), e2021JD036155. https://doi.org/10.1029/2021JD036155

Couldrey, M. P., Gregory, J. M., Dong, X., Garuba, O., Haak, H., Hu, A., et al. (2022). Greenhouse-gas forced changes in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation and related worldwide sea-level change. Climate Dynamics. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06386-y

Cranko Page, J., De Kauwe, M. G., Abramowitz, G., Cleverly, J., Hinko-Najera, N., Hovenden, M. J., et al. (2022). Examining the role of environmental memory in the predictability of carbon and water fluxes across Australian ecosystems. Biogeosciences, 19(7), 1913–1932. https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-19-1913-2022

Crespo, L. R., Rodríguez-Fonseca, M. B., Polo, I., Keenlyside, N., & Dommenget, D. (2022). Multidecadal variability of ENSO in a recharge oscillator framework. Environmental Research Letters, 17(7), 074008. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac72a3

Crosta, X., Kohfeld, K. E., Bostock, H. C., Chadwick, M., Du Vivier, A., Esper, O., et al. (2022). Antarctic sea ice over the past 130 000 years – Part 1: a review of what proxy records tell us. Climate of the Past, 18(8), 1729–1756. https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-18-1729-2022

Cyriac, A., Phillips, H. E., Bindoff, N. L., & Feng, M. (2022). Characteristics of Wind-Generated Near-Inertial Waves in the Southeast Indian Ocean. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 52(4), 557–578. https://doi.org/10.1175/JPO-D-21-0046.1

Cyriac, A., Phillips, H. E., Bindoff, N. L., & Polzin, K. (2022). Turbulent Mixing Variability in an Energetic Standing Meander of the Southern Ocean. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 52(8), 1593–1611. https://doi.org/10.1175/JPO-D-21-0180.1

De Kauwe, M. G., Sabot, M. E. B., Medlyn, B. E., Pitman, A. J., Meir, P., Cernusak, L. A., et al. (2022). Towards species-level forecasts of drought-induced tree mortality risk. New Phytologist, 235(1), 94–110. https://doi.org/10.1111/nph.18129

Della Penna, A., Llort, J., Moreau, S., Patel, R., Kloser, R., Gaube, P., et al. (2022). The Impact of a Southern Ocean Cyclonic Eddy on Mesopelagic Micronekton. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 127(11), e2022JC018893. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022JC018893

Denes, M. C., Froyland, G., & Keating, S. R. (2022). Persistence and material coherence of a mesoscale ocean eddy. Physical Review Fluids, 7(3), 034501. https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevFluids.7.034501

Deng, X., Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S. E., Alexander, L. V., & Stark, C. (2022). Projected Changes and Time of Emergence of Temperature Extremes Over Australia in CMIP5 and CMIP6. Earth’s Future, 10(9), e2021EF002645. https://doi.org/10.1029/2021EF002645

Denissen, J. M. C., Teuling, A. J., Pitman, A. J., Koirala, S., Migliavacca, M., Li, W., et al. (2022). Widespread shift from ecosystem energy to water limitation with climate change. Nature Climate Change, 12(7), 677–684. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-022-01403-8

Deo, A., Chand, S. S., McIntosh, R. D., Prakash, B., Holbrook, N. J., Magee, A., et al. (2022). Severe tropical cyclones over southwest Pacific Islands: economic impacts and implications for disaster risk management. Climatic Change, 172(3), 38. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-022-03391-2

Deo, K., & Prasad, A. A. (2022). Exploring Climate Change Adaptation, Mitigation and Marketing Connections. Sustainability, 14(7), 4255. https://doi.org/10.3390/su14074255

Dommenget, B. D., & Al-Ansari, M. (2022). Asymmetries in the ENSO phase space. Climate Dynamics. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06392-0

Du, H., Donat, M. G., Zong, S., Alexander, L. V., Manzanas, R., Kruger, A., et al. (2022). Extreme Precipitation on Consecutive Days Occurs More Often in a Warming Climate. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 103(4), E1130–E1145. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-21-0140.1

Dunn, R. J. H., Donat, M. G., & Alexander, L. V. (2022). Comparing extremes indices in recent observational and reanalysis products. Frontiers in Climate, 4, 989505. https://doi.org/10.3389/fclim.2022.989505

Eabry, M. D., Holmes, R. M., & Sen Gupta, A. (2022). The impact of Indonesian Throughflow constrictions on eastern Pacific upwelling and water-mass transformation. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 127(5), e2022JC018509. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022JC018509

Erhardt, T., Bigler, M., Federer, U., Gfeller, G., Leuenberger, D., Stowasser, O., et al. (2022). High-resolution aerosol concentration data from the Greenland NorthGRIP and NEEM deep ice cores. Earth System Science Data, 14(3), 1215–1231. https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-14-1215-2022

Everingham, S. E., Blick, R. A. J., Sabot, M. E. B., Slavich, E., & Moles, A. T. (2022). Southern hemisphere plants show more delays than advances in flowering phenology. Journal of Ecology. https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2745.13828

Feng, P., Wang, B., Macadam, I., Taschetto, A. S., Abram, N. J., Luo, J.-J., et al. (2022). Increasing dominance of Indian Ocean variability impacts Australian wheat yields. Nature Food, 3(10), 862–870. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43016-022-00613-9

Fiddes, S.L., Protat, A., Mallet, M. D., Alexander, S. P., & Woodhouse, M. T. (2022). Southern Ocean cloud and shortwave radiation biases in a nudged climate model simulation: does the model ever get it right? Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 22(22), 14603–14630. https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-22-14603-2022

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Published Data Sets

Holmes, R. M., Groeskamp, S., Stewart, K., & McDougall, T. (2022). Sensitivity of a Coarse-Resolution Global Ocean Model to a Spatially Variable Neutral Diffusivity – ACCESS-OM2 data and plotting routines [Data set] [Data set]. Zenodo. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.6253779

King, M., Green, S., Heerdegen, A., Carouge, C., Wales, S., & Wolff, H. (2022, November 30). FrontDetection: A python module to detect fronts in xarray data (v2.0.0). Zenodo. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.7379134

Lipson, M., Grimmond, S., Best, M., Chow, W., Christen, A., Chrysoulakis, N., et al. (2022). Site data archive for “Harmonized gap-filled dataset from 20 urban flux tower sites” for the Urban-PLUMBER project (v0.92) [Data set] [Data set]. Zenodo. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.6590886

Lipson, M., Nazarian, N., Hart, M. A., Nice, K. A., & Conroy, B. (2022). Urban form data for climate modelling: Sydney at 300 m resolution derived from building-resolving and 2 m land cover datasets [Data set]. Zenodo. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.6579061

Lu, J., Nazarian, N., & Hart, M. A. (2022, May 20). OSM2LES – A python-based tool to prepare realistic urban geometry for LES simulation from OpenStreetMap (0.1.0). Zenodo. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.6566346

Petrelli, P. (2022a, February 25). XMHW: Xarray based code to identify Marine HeatWave events and their characteristics (0.8.0). Zenodo. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.6270280

Petrelli, P. (2022b, July 25). cds_etccdi: CDS API python wrapper to download the Climate extreme indices and heat stress indicators derived from CMIP6 global climate projections. (1.0.0). Zenodo. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.6897993

Ridder, N. N. (2022). Compound hot and dry and wet and windy events in CMIP6 models (Version v1) [Data set]. Zenodo. Retrieved from https://zenodo.org/record/6622392#.YqfUiOcRU2x

Tran, T. L. (2022, February 9). Southeast Asia Tropical cyclone landfall database. https://doi.org/10.26190/unsworks/1987. Retrieved from https://doi.org/10.26190/unsworks/1987

Wales, S., & Petrelli, P. (2022, August 25). CleF – Climate Finder – A python based command line tool to query ESGF dataset hosted at NCI (1.4.1). Zenodo. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.7020691

2021

Abram, N. J., Henley, B. J., Sen Gupta, A., Lippmann, T. J. R., Clarke, H., Dowdy, A. J., Sharples, J. J., Nolan, R. H., Zhang, T., Wooster, M. J., Wurtzel, J. B., Meissner, K. J., Pitman, A. J., Ukkola, A. M., Murphy, B. P., Tapper, N. J., & Boer, M. M. (2021). Connections of climate change and variability to large and extreme forest fires in southeast Australia. Communications Earth & Environment, 2(1), 1–17. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-020-00065-8
Ackermann, L., Huang, Y., Siems, S., Manton, M., Lang, F., Chubb, T., Peace, A., Speirs, J., Suzanne, K., Protat, A., & Alexander, S. P. (2021). Wintertime Precipitation over the Australian Snowy Mountains: Observations from an Intensive Field Campaign 2018. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 22(8), 2193–2211. https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-20-0283.1
Aguiar, W., Meissner, K. J., Montenegro, A., Prado, L., Wainer, I., Carlson, A. E., & Mata, M. M. (2021). Magnitude of the 8.2 ka event freshwater forcing based on stable isotope modelling and comparison to future Greenland melting. Scientific Reports, 11(1), 5473. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-84709-5
Amengual, A., Hermoso, A., Carrió, D. S., & Homar, V. (2021). The Sequence of Heavy Precipitation and Flash Flooding of 12 and 13 September 2019 in Eastern Spain. Part II: A Hydrometeorological Predictability Analysis Based on Convection-Permitting Ensemble Strategies. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 22(8), 2153–2177. https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-20-0181.1
Ayat, H., Evans, J. P., & Behrangi, A. (2021). How do different sensors impact IMERG precipitation estimates during hurricane days? Remote Sensing of Environment, 259, 112417. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2021.112417
Azorin-Molina, C., McVicar, T. R., Guijarro, J. A., Trewin, B., Frost, A. J., Zhang, G., Minola, L., Son, S.-W., Deng, K., & Chen, D. (2021). A Decline of Observed Daily Peak Wind Gusts with Distinct Seasonality in Australia, 1941–2016. Journal of Climate, 34(8), 3103–3127. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0590.1
Badlan, R. L., Sharples, J. J., Evans, J. P., & McRae, R. H. D. (2021a). Factors influencing the development of violent pyroconvection. Part I: Fire size and stability. International Journal of Wildland Fire, 30(7), 484–497. https://doi.org/10.1071/WF20040
Badlan, R. L., Sharples, J. J., Evans, J. P., & McRae, R. H. D. (2021b). Factors influencing the development of violent pyroconvection. Part II: Fire geometry and intensity. International Journal of Wildland Fire, 30(7), 498–512. https://doi.org/10.1071/WF20041
Bai, H., Xiao, D., Wang, B., Liu, D. L., Feng, P., & Tang, J. (2021). Multi-model ensemble of CMIP6 projections for future extreme climate stress on wheat in the North China plain. International Journal of Climatology, 41(S1), E171–E186. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.6674
Barton, N., Metzger, E. J., Reynolds, C. A., Ruston, B., Rowley, C., Smedstad, O. M., Ridout, J. A., Wallcraft, A., Frolov, S., Hogan, P., Janiga, M. A., Shriver, J. F., McLay, J., Thoppil, P., Huang, A., Crawford, W., Whitcomb, T., Bishop, C. H., Zamudio, L., & Phelps, M. (2021). The Navy’s Earth System Prediction Capability: A New Global Coupled Atmosphere-Ocean-Sea Ice Prediction System Designed for Daily to Subseasonal Forecasting. Earth and Space Science, 8(4), e2020EA001199. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020EA001199
Behrens, E., Hogg, A. M., England, M. H., & Bostock, H. (2021). Seasonal and Interannual Variability of the Subtropical Front in the New Zealand Region. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 126(2), e2020JC016412. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020JC016412
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2020

Abram, N. J., Hargreaves, J. A., Wright, N. M., Thirumalai, K., Ummenhofer, C. C., & England, M. H. (2020). Palaeoclimate perspectives on the Indian Ocean Dipole. Quaternary Science Reviews, 237, 106302. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2020.106302
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Ades, M., Adler, R., Allan, R., Allan, R. P., Anderson, J., Argüez, A., Arosio, C., Augustine, J. A., Azorin-Molina, C., Barichivich, J., Barnes, J., Beck, H. E., Becker, A., Bellouin, N., Benedetti, A., Berry, D. I., Blenkinsop, S., Bock, O., Bosilovich, M. G., … Ziese, M. (2020). Global Climate. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 101(8), S9–S128. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0104.1
Aguiar, W., Prado, L. F., Wainer, I., Liu, Z., Montenegro, A., Meissner, K. J., & Mata, M. M. (2020). Freshwater forcing control on early-Holocene South American monsoon. Quaternary Science Reviews, 245, 106498. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2020.106498
Alexander, L. V., Bador, M., Roca, R., Contractor, S., Donat, M., & Nguyen, P. L. (2020). Intercomparison of annual precipitation indices and extremes over global land areas from in situ, space-based and reanalysis products. Environmental Research Letters, 15, 055002. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab79e2
Allan, R. J., Gergis, J., & D’Arrigo, R. D. (2020). Placing the AD 2014–2016 ‘protracted’ El Niño episode into a long-term context. The Holocene, 30(1), 90–105. https://doi.org/10.1177/0959683619875788
Allen, D. R., Frolov, S., Langland, R., Bishop, C. H., Hoppel, K. W., Kuhl, D. D., & Yaremchuk, M. (2020). Challenges of Increased Resolution for the Local Ensemble Tangent Linear Model. Monthly Weather Review, 148(6), 2549–2566. https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-20-0016.1
Allen, K. J., Hope, P., Lam, D., Brown, J. R., & Wasson, R. J. (2020). Improving Australia’s flood record for planning purposes – can we do better? Australasian Journal of Water Resources, 24(1), 36–45.https://doi.org/10.1080/13241583.2020.1745735
Amores, A., Marcos, M., Carrió, D. S., & Gómez-Pujol, L. (2020). Coastal impacts of Storm Gloria (January 2020) over the north-western Mediterranean. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 20(7), 1955–1968. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-20-1955-2020
Archer, M., Schaeffer, A., Keating, S., Roughan, M., Holmes, R., & Siegelman, L. (2020). Observations of Submesoscale Variability and Frontal Subduction within the Mesoscale Eddy Field of the Tasman Sea. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 50(5), 1509–1529. https://doi.org/10.1175/JPO-D-19-0131.1
Argüeso, D., Romero, R., & Homar, V. (2020). Precipitation Features of the Maritime Continent in Parameterized and Explicit Convection Models. Journal of Climate, 33(6), 2449–2466. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0416.1
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Ayat, H., Evans, J. P., Sherwood, S., & Behrangi, A. (2020). Are Storm Characteristics the Same When Viewed Using Merged Surface Radars or a Merged Satellite Product? Journal of Hydrometeorology, 22(1), 43–62. https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-20-0187.1
Bachman, S. D., & Klocker, A. (2020). Interaction of Jets and Submesoscale Dynamics Leads to Rapid Ocean Ventilation. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 50(10), 2873–2883. https://doi.org/10.1175/JPO-D-20-0117.1
Bador, M., Alexander, L. V., Contractor, S., & Roca, R. (2020). Diverse estimates of annual maxima daily precipitation in 22 state-of-the-art quasi-global land observation datasets. Environmental Research Letters, 15(3), 035005. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab6a22
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Wang, B., Deveson, E. D., Waters, C., Spessa, A., Lawton, D., Feng, P., & Liu, D. L. (2019). Future climate change likely to reduce the Australian plague locust (Chortoicetes terminifera) seasonal outbreaks. The Science of the Total Environment, 668, 947–957. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.02.439
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Woodhams, B. J., Birch, C. E., Marsham, J. H., Lane, T. P., Bain, C. L., & Webster, S. (2019). Identifying Key Controls on Storm Formation over the Lake Victoria Basin. Monthly Weather Review, 147(9), 3365–3390. https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-19-0069.1
Yang, J., Duursma, R. A., De Kauwe, M. G., Kumarathunge, D., Jiang, M., Mahmud, K., Gimeno, T. E., Crous, K. Y., Ellsworth, D. S., Peters, J., Choat, B., Eamus, D., & Medlyn, B. E. (2019). Incorporating non-stomatal limitation improves the performance of leaf and canopy models at high vapour pressure deficit. Tree Physiology, 39(12), 1961–1974. https://doi.org/10.1093/treephys/tpz103
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2018

Abram, N. J. (2018). Past warming events in the Arctic linked to shifting winds in the Antarctic. Nature, 563(7733), 630–631. https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-018-07495-7
Bador, M., Donat, M. G., Geoffroy, O., & Alexander, L. V. (2018). Assessing the Robustness of Future Extreme Precipitation Intensification in the CMIP5 Ensemble. Journal of Climate, 31(16), 6505–6525. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0683.1
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Constantinou, N. C., & Parker, J. B. (2018). Magnetic Suppression of Zonal Flows on a Beta Plane. The Astrophysical Journal, 863(1), 46. https://doi.org/10.3847/1538-4357/aace53
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Dauhut, T., Chaboureau, J.-P., Haynes, P. H., & Lane, T. P. (2018). The Mechanisms Leading to a Stratospheric Hydration by Overshooting Convection. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 75(12), 4383–4398. https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-18-0176.1
Donat, M. G., Pitman, A. J., & Angélil, O. (2018). Understanding and Reducing Future Uncertainty in Midlatitude Daily Heat Extremes Via Land Surface Feedback Constraints. Geophysical Research Letters,45(19), 10,627-10,636. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL079128
Drake, J. E., Tjoelker, M. G., Vårhammar, A., Medlyn, B. E., Reich, P. B., Leigh, A., Pfautsch, S., Blackman, C. J., López, R., Aspinwall, M. J., Crous, K. Y., Duursma, R. A., Kumarathunge, D., De Kauwe, M. G., Jiang, M., Nicotra, A. B., Tissue, D. T., Choat, B., Atkin, O. K., & Barton, C. V. M. (2018). Trees tolerate an extreme heatwave via sustained transpirational cooling and increased leaf thermal tolerance. Global Change Biology, 24(6), 2390–2402. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.14037
Evans, J. P., Kay, M., Prasad, A., & Pitman, A. (2018). The resilience of Australian wind energy to climate change. Environmental Research Letters, 13(2), 024014. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aaa632
Fiddes, S. L., Woodhouse, M. T., Nicholls, Z., Lane, T. P., & Schofield, R. (2018). Cloud, precipitation and radiation responses to large perturbations in global dimethyl sulfide. Atmos. Chem. Phys. Discuss., 18, 10177–10198. https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-18-10177-2018
Fischer, E. M., Beyerle, U., Schleussner, C. F., King, A. D., & Knutti, R. (2018). Biased Estimates of Changes in Climate Extremes From Prescribed SST Simulations. Geophysical Research Letters, 45(16), 8500–8509. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL079176
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Fraser, C. I., Morrison, A. K., Hogg, A. M., Macaya, E. C., van Sebille, E., Ryan, P. G., Padovan, A., Jack, C., Valdivia, N., & Waters, J. M. (2018). Antarctica’s ecological isolation will be broken by storm-driven dispersal and warming. Nature Climate Change, 8, 704–708. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0209-7
Furue, R., Guerreiro, K., Phillips, H. E., McCreary, J. P., & Bindoff, N. L. (2018). Corrigendum: On the Leeuwin Current System and its linkage to zonal flows in the south Indian Ocean as inferred from a gridded hydrography. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 48(5), 1231–1232. https://doi.org/10.1175/JPO-D-17-0276.1
Grant, L. D., Lane, T. P., & van den Heever, S. C. (2018). The Role of Cold Pools in Tropical Oceanic Convective Systems. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 75(8), 2615–2634. https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-17-0352.1
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Holmes, R. M., Zika, J. D., & England, M. H. (2018). Diathermal Heat Transport in a Global Ocean Model. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 49(1), 141–161. https://doi.org/10.1175/JPO-D-18-0098.1
Jucker, M., & Reichler, T. (2018). Dynamical Precursors for Statistical Prediction of Stratospheric Sudden Warming Events. Geophysical Research Letters, 45(23), 13,124-13,132. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL080691
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King, A. D., & Harrington, L. J. (2018). The Inequality of Climate Change From 1.5 to 2°C of Global Warming. Geophysical Research Letters, 45(10), 5030–5033. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL078430
King, A. D., Knutti, R., Uhe, P., Mitchell, D. M., Lewis, S. C., Arblaster, J. M., & Freychet, N. (2018). On the Linearity of Local and Regional Temperature Changes from 1.5°C to 2°C of Global Warming. Journal of Climate, 31(18), 7495–7514. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0649.1
King, A. D., & Vincent, C. L. (2018). Using global and regional model simulations to understand Maritime Continent wet-season rainfall variability. Geophysical Research Letters, 45(22), 12534–12543. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL080201
Klein, T., Zeppel, M. J. B., Anderegg, W. R. L., Bloemen, J., De Kauwe, M. G., Hudson, P., Ruehr, N. K., Powell, T. L., von Arx, G., & Nardini, A. (2018). Xylem embolism refilling and resilience against drought-induced mortality in woody plants: Processes and trade-offs. Ecological Research, 33(5), 839–855. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11284-018-1588-y
Knauer, J., Zaehle, S., Medlyn, B. E., Reichstein, M., Williams, C. A., Migliavacca, M., De Kauwe, M. G., Werner, C., Keitel, C., Kolari, P., Limousin, J.-M., & Linderson, M.-L. (2018). Towards physiologically meaningful water-use efficiency estimates from eddy covariance data. Global Change Biology, 24(2), 694–710. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.13893
Koenig, Z., Meyer, A., Provost, C., Sennéchael, N., Sundfjord, A., Beguery, L., Athanase, M., & Gascard, J.-C. (2018). Cooling and Freshening of the West Spitsbergen Current by Shelf-Origin Cold Core Lenses. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 123(11), 8299–8312. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018JC014463
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Lang, F., Huang, Y., Siems, S. T., & Manton, M. J. (2018). Characteristics of the Marine Atmospheric Boundary Layer Over the Southern Ocean in Response to the Synoptic Forcing. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 123(15), 7799–7820. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018JD028700
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Li, C., Luo, J.-J., Li, S., Hendon, H., Alves, O., & MacLachlan, C. (2018). Multimodel Prediction Skills of the Somali and Maritime Continent Cross-Equatorial Flows. Journal of Climate, 31(6), 2445–2464. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0272.1
Li, J., Wasko, C., Johnson, F., Evans, J. P., & Sharma, A. (2018). Can Regional Climate Modeling Capture the Observed Changes in Spatial Organization of Extreme Storms at Higher Temperatures? Geophysical Research Letters, 45(9), 4475–4484. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL077716
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Ma, Y., Schwenke, G., Sun, L., Liu, D. L., Wang, B., & Yang, B. (2018). Modeling the impact of crop rotation with legume on nitrous oxide emissions from rain-fed agricultural systems in Australia under alternative future climate scenarios. The Science of the Total Environment, 630, 1544–1552. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.02.322
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Oliver, E. C. J., & Holbrook, N. J. (2018). Variability and long-term trends in the shelf circulation off eastern Tasmania. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 123(10), 7366–7381. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018JC013994
Oliver, E. C. J., Lago, V., Hobday, A. J., Holbrook, N. J., Ling, S. D., & Mundy, C. N. (2018). Marine heatwaves off eastern Tasmania: Trends, interannual variability, and predictability. Progress in Oceanography, 161, 116–130. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pocean.2018.02.007
Oliver, E. C. J., Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S. E., Holbrook, N. J., & Bindoff, N. L. (2018). Anthropogenic and Natural Influences on Record 2016 Marine Heat waves. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 99(1), S44–S48. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-17-0093.1
Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S. & Pitman, A.J. (2018). Extreme events in the context of climate change. Public Health Research and Practice, 28(4), 1–4. https://doi.org/10.17061/phrp2841825
Quinting, J. F., Parker, T. J., & Reeder, M. J. (2018). Two Synoptic Routes to Subtropical Heat Waves as Illustrated in the Brisbane Region of Australia. Geophysical Research Letters, 45(19), 10,700-10,708. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL079261
Ruan, H., Feng, P., Wang, B., Xing, H., O’Leary, G. J., Huang, Z., Guo, H., & Liu, D. L. (2018). Future climate change projects positive impacts on sugarcane productivity in southern China. European Journal of Agronomy, 96, 108–119. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eja.2018.03.007
Schroeter, S., Hobbs, W., Bindoff, N. L., Massom, R., & Matear, R. (2018). Drivers of Antarctic Sea Ice Volume Change in CMIP5 Models. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 123(11), 7914–7938. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018JC014177
Seneviratne, S. I., Phipps, S. J., Pitman, A. J., Hirsch, A. L., Davin, E. L., Donat, M. G., Hirschi, M., Lenton, A., Wilhelm, M., & Kravitz, B. (2018). Land radiative management as contributor to regional-scale climate adaptation and mitigation. Nature Geoscience, 11(2), 88–96. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-017-0057-5
Sherwood, S. C. (2018). How Important Is Humidity in Heat Stress? Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 123(21), 11,808-11,810. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018JD028969
Sohail, T., Gayen, B., & Hogg, A. M. (2018). Convection Enhances Mixing in the Southern Ocean. Geophysical Research Letters, 45(9), 4198–4207. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL077711
Stuecker, M. F., Bitz, C. M., Armour, K. C., Proistosescu, C., Kang, S. M., Xie, S.-P., Kim, D., McGregor, S., Zhang, W., Zhao, S., Cai, W., Dong, Y., & Jin, F.-F. (2018). Polar amplification dominated by local forcing and feedbacks. Nature Climate Change, 8(12), 1076–1081. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0339-y
Timmermann, A., An, S.-I., Kug, J.-S., Jin, F.-F., Cai, W., Capotondi, A., Cobb, K., Lengaigne, M., McPhaden, M. J., Stuecker, M. F., Stein, K., Wittenberg, A. T., Yun, K.-S., Bayr, T., Chen, H.-C., Chikamoto, Y., Dewitte, B., Dommenget, D., Grothe, P., … Zhang, X. (2018). El Niño–Southern Oscillation complexity. Nature, 559(7715), 535–545. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-018-0252-6
Ukkola, A. M., Pitman, A. J., De Kauwe, M. G., Abramowitz, G., Herger, N., Evans, J. P., & Decker, M. (2018). Evaluating CMIP5 Model Agreement for Multiple Drought Metrics. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 19(6), 969–988. https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-17-0099.1
Ukkola, A. M., Pitman, A. J., Donat, M. G., Kauwe, M. G. D., & Angélil, O. (2018). Evaluating the Contribution of Land-Atmosphere Coupling to Heat Extremes in CMIP5 Models. Geophysical Research Letters, 45(17), 9003–9012. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL079102
Vincent, C. L., & Lane, T. P. (2018). Mesoscale Variation in Diabatic Heating around Sumatra, and Its Modulation with the Madden–Julian Oscillation. Monthly Weather Review, 146(8), 2599–2614. https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-17-0392.1
Walker, A. P., Ye, M., Lu, D., De Kauwe, M. G., Gu, L., Medlyn, B. E., Rogers, A., & Serbin, S. P. (2018). The multi-assumption architecture and testbed (MAAT v1.0): R code for generating ensembles with dynamic model structure and analysis of epistemic uncertainty from multiple sources. Geoscientific Model Development, 11(8), 3159–3185. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-11-3159-2018
Wang, B., Liu, D. L., Waters, C., & Yu, Q. (2018). Quantifying sources of uncertainty in projected wheat yield changes under climate change in eastern Australia. Climatic Change, 151(2), 259–273. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-018-2306-z
Wang, B., Zheng, L., Liu, D. L., Ji, F., Clark, A., & Yu, Q. (2018). Using multi-model ensembles of CMIP5 global climate models to reproduce observed monthly rainfall and temperature with machine learning methods in Australia. International Journal of Climatology, 38(13), 4891–4902. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.5705
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Yang, J., Medlyn, B. E., De Kauwe, M. G., & Duursma, R. A. (2018). Applying the Concept of Ecohydrological Equilibrium to Predict Steady State Leaf Area Index. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 10(8), 1740–1758. https://doi.org/10.1029/2017MS001169
Yang, L., Nikurashin, M., Hogg, A. M., & Sloyan, B. M. (2018). Energy Loss from Transient Eddies due to Lee Wave Generation in the Southern Ocean. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 48(12), 2867–2885. https://doi.org/10.1175/JPO-D-18-0077.1
Yang, Y., Zhou, X., Yang, Y., Bi, S., Yang, X., & Liu, D. L. (2018). Evaluating water-saving efficiency of plastic mulching in Northwest China using remote sensing and SEBAL. Agricultural Water Management, 209, 240–248. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agwat.2018.07.011
Zhang, Y., Beggs, P. J., Bambrick, H., Berry, H. L., Linnenluecke, M. K., Trueck, S., Alders, R., Bi, P., Boylan, S. M., Green, D., Guo, Y., Hanigan, I. C., Hanna, E. G., Malik, A., Morgan, G. G., Stevenson, M., Tong, S., Watts, N., & Capon, A. G. (2018). The MJA–Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: Australian policy inaction threatens lives. Medical Journal of Australia, 209(11), 474–474. https://doi.org/10.5694/mja18.00789
Zhang, Y., Feng, M., Du, Y., Phillips, H. E., Bindoff, N. L., & McPhaden, M. J. (2018). Strengthened Indonesian Throughflow Drives Decadal Warming in the Southern Indian Ocean. Geophysical Research Letters, 45(12), 6167–6175. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL078265
Zscheischler, J., Westra, S., van den Hurk, B. J. J. M., Seneviratne, S. I., Ward, P. J., Pitman, A., AghaKouchak, A., Bresch, D. N., Leonard, M., Wahl, T., & Zhang, X. (2018). Future climate risk from compound events. Nature Climate Change, 8(6), 469–477. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0156-3

2017

Published

De Kauwe, M.G., Medlyn, B.E., Knauer, J., Williams, C.A. (2017). Ideas and perspectives: how coupled is the vegetation to the boundary layer? Biogeosciences 14, 4435–4453. https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-14-4435-2017 (Research brief here).
Ma, S., Pitman, A., Yang, J., Carouge, C., Evans, J.P., Hart, M., Green, D., 2017. Evaluating the Effectiveness of Mitigation Options on Heat Stress for Sydney, Australia. J. Appl. Meteor. Climatol. 57, 209–220. https://doi.org/10.1175/JAMC-D-17-0061.1
Williams, P.D., Alexander, M.J., Barnes, E.A., Butler, A.H., Davies, H.C., Garfinkel, C.I., Kushnir, Y., Lane, T.P., Lundquist, J.K., Martius, O., Maue, R.N., Peltier, W.R., Sato, K., Scaife, A.A., Zhang, C., 2017. A Census of Atmospheric Variability From Seconds to Decades. Geophysical Research Letters 44, 11,201-11,211. https://doi.org/10.1002/2017GL075483

Publications

Highlights

Up to a 40% increase in hailstorm-prone days around Sydney and Perth: new research

Predicting the rain weeks in advance

Rainfall relief for Northern Australia during El Niño: New research

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