Tag Archive: biases

Research brief: New Metrics for Assessing Small Scale Wind Processes in Bureau Forecasts

July 9, 2020 9:59 am Published by Comments Off on Research brief: New Metrics for Assessing Small Scale Wind Processes in Bureau Forecasts

In this paper, CLEX researchers developed new metrics to assess whether forecaster edits targeting these processes were reducing error in the daily varying component of the wind forecasts, by comparing edited and unedited forecast data with weather station observations.

Research Brief: SST adjustments radically alter projections of tropical cyclones in a warming world

April 15, 2020 3:18 pm Published by Comments Off on Research Brief: SST adjustments radically alter projections of tropical cyclones in a warming world

Most climate models correct for current SSTs but don't correct for the reliability of future SSTs. This study shows that making that additional correction has a profound impact on how tropical cyclones will develop in a warmer world.

Research brief: Statistical correction reveals 25% decline in future rainfall over the SW Pacific

April 29, 2019 2:19 pm Published by Comments Off on Research brief: Statistical correction reveals 25% decline in future rainfall over the SW Pacific

CLEX researchers found that applying a statistical correction to projected sea surface temperatures has a major impact on changes to rainfall with global warming, leading to a 25% reduction in future precipitation projected for the south-western Pacific.

Tornado in a storm

PhD opportunity: How intense will design storms become with rising temperatures

June 22, 2018 1:36 am Published by Comments Off on PhD opportunity: How intense will design storms become with rising temperatures

This PhD will use sophisticated alternatives for removing systematic biases in the lateral boundary conditions of such experiments, with the aim of assessing the extent of change that results in the resulting extreme storm. Outcomes here can help define how we design Civil Engineering infrastructure in warming climates.