Tag Archive: climate change

El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) risks for Western Australian graziers

November 27, 2018 10:32 am Published by Comments Off on El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) risks for Western Australian graziers

Bella Blanche writes about spending time on the vast Macfarlane Station in Tambo, Queensland and introduces a methodology to assess risks posed by climate change, and the vulnerability of the native rangeland resources located west of the Great Dividing Range.

Briefing note 001: What is the chance of global warming exceeding 1.5°C in the next 5 years?

October 23, 2018 2:28 pm Published by Comments Off on Briefing note 001: What is the chance of global warming exceeding 1.5°C in the next 5 years?

An international group of scientists has now forecast the likelihood global warming will exceed 1.5C over the next 5 years. This is one of the thresholds of the UNFCCC’s Paris Agreement, which aims “to strengthen the global response to the threat of climate change by keeping a global temperature rise this century well below 2°C above pre-industrial levels and to pursue efforts to limit the temperature increase even further to 1.5°C”.

Seminar: Making climate detection and attribution scientists redundant

October 17, 2018 3:41 pm Published by Leave your thoughts

Dáithí Stone National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research, Wellington, New Zealand. Over the past couple of decades a large number of studies have diagnosed the contribution of emissions from human activities to observed climate trends, by confronting process-based expectations with long-term monitoring. Over the same period a much larger number of studies have diagnosed the contribution of observed climate changes to trends in various natural, managed, and human systems. For convenience and following IPCC terminology, we will refer to... View Article

Seminar: How Tropical Cyclones Influence, and are Influenced by Climate

October 16, 2018 11:20 am Published by Leave your thoughts

Greg Holland A lot of attention has been given to the potential influence that climate change may have on tropical cyclone activity. But very little has been said about the way in which tropical cyclones influence climate. In this presentation, I will summarise the current understanding of tropical cyclone response to climate change, then move to a discussion of their role in the global atmospheric energy budget. Some speculation will be made on the relationship between the this role and... View Article

Seminar: Loss of fixed nitrogen causes net oxygen gain in a warmer future ocean.

October 16, 2018 10:52 am Published by Leave your thoughts

Andreas Oschlies (GEOMAR Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research). Oceanic anoxic events have been associated with warm climates in Earth history, and there are concerns that current ocean deoxygenation may eventually lead to anoxia. On the contrary, results of a multi-millennial global-warming simulation reveal, after a transitory deoxygenation, a marine oxygen inventory 6% higher than preindustrial despite an average 3°C ocean warming. The initial, centennial-scale ~20% decline of oxygen is consistent with earlier studies and reflects changes in solubility and ocean... View Article

Research brief: Drivers of Antarctic sea ice volume change in CMIP 5 models

October 8, 2018 2:53 pm Published by Comments Off on Research brief: Drivers of Antarctic sea ice volume change in CMIP 5 models

CLEX researchers find that ocean sea-ice models generally agreed on changes to average yearly cycle of freeze and melt in Antarctica, with dynamic processes dominating the sea ice edge and thermodynamic processes dominating the interior of the sea ice pack. However, the models disagreed about the trends of sea ice volume.

Research brief: How strong currents influence Tasmania’s marine heatwaves

October 8, 2018 12:09 pm Published by Comments Off on Research brief: How strong currents influence Tasmania’s marine heatwaves

An unusually strong East Australian Current extension leads to an increased probability of marine heatwave days around Tasmania. Conversely, a strong Zeehan Current during these seasons decreased the probability of marine heatwave days in this region.

Research brief: Summertime Heatwaves in Brisbane

September 25, 2018 11:20 am Published by Comments Off on Research brief: Summertime Heatwaves in Brisbane

Heat waves are the deadliest natural hazard in Australia. Motivated by the prediction that the number of extremely hot days in subtropical Australia will increase in a warmer climate, this study aims to develop a comprehensive picture of the processes leading to extreme temperatures.