Drought is a major risk to Australia with extended periods of drought affecting our social, economic and environmental systems. The newly released report by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change contains significant new assessments of the science and future projections of drought.
Tag Archive: projections
The Attribution and Risk program is taking shape with regular meetings on the fourth Wednesday of every month and has established focused questions and research around the processes that shape Australian extremes and the advanced machine learning/statistical approaches that will help produce the answers.
CLEX researchers and colleagues combined high-resolution regional climate projections with a process-based hazelnut simulation model to predict future hazelnut yield in Australia.
Research brief: The rare event that amplified the dry Australian spring of 2019 is unlikely to happen againMay 27, 2021 12:11 pm Comments Off on Research brief: The rare event that amplified the dry Australian spring of 2019 is unlikely to happen again
An unusual southern stratospheric warming event amplified the conditions that led to the Black Summer bushfires of 2019/20. CLEX researchers explored how frequently these rare warming events may occur with climate change.
CLEX researchers found the ocean around Antarctica will warm under future emission scenarios, with the level of warming under the high emission scenario almost double that under the medium-low emission scenario.
This study uses a high‐resolution climate model to investigate how and why marine heatwaves would change for the Australian region. The relative impacts of increases on background ocean temperature and changes to intrinsic temperature variations are compared.
There is a great deal of misuse of climate model projections emerging in business. Climate models are being used for some purposes that are simply inappropriate leading to assessments of the physical risks to business that are of no value. However, there are ways to use climate model data that has value and can help business robustly assess some specific climate related risks.
New research finds Okubo-Weiss-Zeta parameter scheme has superior performance detecting tropical cyclone frequency characteristics compared to the CSIRO tracking scheme.
Most climate models correct for current SSTs but don't correct for the reliability of future SSTs. This study shows that making that additional correction has a profound impact on how tropical cyclones will develop in a warmer world.
The aim of this student project is to investigate the impacts of climate change on hydrological extremes, such as high runoff events, hydrological or agricultural drought. It uses outputs of the AWRA-L hydrological model, which underpins the BoM's Australian Landscape Water Balance website.