Tag Archive: variability

MON02: Characteristics of the southern HEMISPHERE jet stream

August 18, 2021 11:27 am Published by Comments Off on MON02: Characteristics of the southern HEMISPHERE jet stream

The jet stream is a band of strong westerly winds in the upper atmosphere. Shifts in the jet are associated with shifts in the storm tracks, with associated changes in regional weather and rainfall. This project will look at methods to characterise the position and strength of the jet stream in the Southern Hemisphere, with a focus on changes in the Australian region with time.

Can the ocean’s intrinsic dynamics feedback on the atmosphere?

August 17, 2021 10:38 am Published by Comments Off on Can the ocean’s intrinsic dynamics feedback on the atmosphere?

The ocean’s much larger heat capacity acts as “memory” suppressing the atmosphere’s “high-frequency variability” (over time scales of weeks) while producing oceanic motions that vary over longer time scales. This paradigm aims to explain how low-frequency variability emerges in the ocean. But, recently, this paradigm has been challenged.

Research brief: Climate change to slow Indian Ocean circulation

February 11, 2020 10:43 am Published by Comments Off on Research brief: Climate change to slow Indian Ocean circulation

Climate models project that all circulation features of the South Indian Ocean, including the Leeuwin Current and Undercurrent, North and South East Madagascar Currents, transport through the Mozambique Channel and Agulhas Current are projected to weaken significantly in the last half of the 21st century with unchecked greenhouse gas emissions.

Research brief: Data assimilation produces more realistic representation of Antarctic warming

May 13, 2019 2:57 pm Published by Comments Off on Research brief: Data assimilation produces more realistic representation of Antarctic warming

New research confirms the long-term cooling over Antarctica during the last millennium and the delayed onset of anthropogenic warming are found in simulations that assimilate palaeoclimate data. This is not evident in simulations without data assimilation.

BoM1: Is Australia’s rainfall variability changing?

August 14, 2018 2:49 pm Published by Comments Off on BoM1: Is Australia’s rainfall variability changing?

The associations between rainfall variability, ENSO and temperature appeared to be stationary early in the record, but there was a hint that there was some evidence of a shift in the late 1990s. Has that shift continued? Alternatively, have the rainfall variance characteristics returned to what was observed earlier in the record? This project will use the latest observed datasets to explore these questions.

Research brief: New evapotranspiration product

February 23, 2018 3:19 am Published by Comments Off on Research brief: New evapotranspiration product

This paper combines existing global evapotranspiration estimates to create a new global product with an observationally constrained estimate of uncertainty. It utilises the latest release of ground-based estimates to show that even point-based evapotranspiration estimates have information about much larger spatial scales.