High impact compound events in Australia
September 12, 2022 9:34 am Leave your thoughtsAlmost all catastrophic events are the consequence of multiple drivers acting together.
Almost all catastrophic events are the consequence of multiple drivers acting together.
We are conducting research to determine if we can forecast changes in the probability of extreme rainfall events associated with atmospheric rivers 2-6 weeks ahead.
Further understanding of the role of clouds may improve the knowledge of local atmosphere-ocean interactions, aiding the forecasting of coral bleaching events.
La Niña is an important cause of rainfall variability of Australia. A multi-year La Niña event can be particularly important for some climate risks. Some climate models are indicating that La Niña may continue for a third year through spring and summer 2022-23, increasing the chances of more rain and flooding.
By bringing together researchers focussed on the large-scale modes of climate variability with researchers investigating weather and land surface processes, our goal is to improve the regional predictions of how rainfall extremes will change in the future.
The difference in results between the high-skill and low-skill CMIP6 models highlights an urgent need to examine why some models work well and some don’t, and, ultimately, improve those with weaknesses.
The ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes is working to understand marine heatwave predictability.
Climate Extremes is leading research that will ultimately help businesses and governments better assess the risks posed by compound events.
Drought is a major risk to Australia with extended periods of drought affecting our social, economic and environmental systems. The newly released report by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change contains significant new assessments of the science and future projections of drought.
To better understand the implications of the latest climate science for Tasmania, this brief combines information from the IPCC AR6 WG1 report, with regional assessments that contributed to the UTAS Blueprint for a climate-positive Tasmania, and expertise from the Australian Research Council Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes (CLEX).