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Modelling Research Program – 2022 Update

April 20, 2023 10:30 am Published by Comments Off on Modelling Research Program – 2022 Update

Numerical models of the weather and climate system are key research tools in gaining a deeper understanding of the mechanisms that generate climate extremes. They are also our primary tool in assessing how these extremes may be affected as our planet warms. The Modelling research program at the ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes is therefore an underpinning and enabling activity that develops improved simulations, tools and procedures for use in all research programs across the Centre. PROJECT 1... View Article

How will the Madden-Julian Oscillation respond to climate change?

March 31, 2023 1:23 pm Published by Comments Off on How will the Madden-Julian Oscillation respond to climate change?

As the tropical climate warms, the intensity of rainfall and winds associated with the Madden-Julian Oscillation as well as their patterns may change, leading to intense debate and scrutiny of how extratropical weather will be affected.

Projected ENSO Teleconnection Changes in CMIP6

June 20, 2022 5:07 pm Published by Comments Off on Projected ENSO Teleconnection Changes in CMIP6

The El Nino–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) has far reaching impacts through atmospheric teleconnections, which make it a prominent driver of global interannual climate variability.

Climate change and tipping points

March 7, 2022 4:20 pm Published by Comments Off on Climate change and tipping points

Tipping points exist in the climate system, and it is very unlikely that all tipping points are known. Different tipping points are understood with different levels of confidence, they operate on different timescales, can interact to trigger cascades of abrupt changes, and some tipping point changes are irreversible on timescales of centuries to millennia.

Briefing note 15: Can we limit global warming to 1.5C°?

July 28, 2021 2:43 pm Published by Comments Off on Briefing note 15: Can we limit global warming to 1.5C°?

Irrespective of tipping points, climate change adaptation efforts will be less costly and disruptive to society – and will stand a better chance of success – if warming can be limited to 1.5°C rather than 2°C or higher. We therefore in no way advocate for policies that forgo pursuing the ambition to limit global warming to 1.5°C, regardless of whether that target remains feasible or not.

The latest global climate models present challenges for generating climate projections

June 23, 2021 10:41 am Published by Comments Off on The latest global climate models present challenges for generating climate projections

Climate sensitivity describes how sensitive the Earth’s temperature is to a doubling of the amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere. One measure of climate sensitivity for projections of future climate is the Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity (ECS). ECS is the increase in the global average temperature between the pre-industrial era and a future doubled carbon dioxide climate once equilibrium of the climate has been reached.